COVID-19’s Impact on Consumer Technology

September 23, 2020 | Share this article

Like any other crisis, the Covid-19 pandemic has been an accelerator that spurred the new behaviors to emerge, and that is true for consumer technology adoption as well. Before the pandemic, big tech deployment plans for 5G, AI, IoT, and cloud-based computing were already in place for 2020. Yet, for average consumers, few could imagine them or articulate their benefits. The pandemic has changed all of that – the early applications of emerging technologies ushered in the next iteration of a society already sold on their power.  While most of these innovations have been in the arena of public health management, with China’s fast speed of implementation at scale, we expect to see them finding their ways into marketing and tech platforms soon.

The Integration of AI + Big Data: health code systems evolving into smart social services

On February 11, to prepare itself for the influx of people returning from the Chinese New Year holiday, the city of Hangzhou, home to Alibaba’s headquarter with a world-class data infrastructure, launched the first “health code system” in China. After authorizing the use of their mobile phone number to retrieve their location data for the past few months, users are presented with a colored health code — green, yellow, or red — which local authorities and shop owners check to determine whether they are allowed entry or must go into quarantine. Before long, the health code system was rolled out to the rest of the country, helping people self-monitor their health status and prove it to others.

Unlike in the West, where the contact-tracing apps take the form of apps that require users to download voluntarily, China’s health code system for managing Covid-19 was embedded in our omnipresent “super apps” (i.e. WeChat and Alipay), which ensured near-universal adoption overnight. These codes quickly proved themselves quite effective in improving the management of the population migration and of the pandemic, and became a source of assurance and security, along with omnipresent face masks and temperature checks.

The technology behind the health code system was relatively mature – using AI-powered data analytic tools to parse through the massive amount of location data released by telecom companies to determine if someone has been to a high-risk area. Instead, the greater challenge in deploying it was in the public policy arena. A key issue was around how to establish a framework to consolidate data across different government agencies and private platforms, without losing accountability and violating laws. In early February, the Central Security and Information Committee issued clear guidelines encouraging government agencies and businesses to utilize big data to assist fighting this pandemic, and the Chinese Telecommunications Department also facilitated the data sharing between the telecoms and the local government.  In the new model that followed, local governments were given the ability to act proactively and in real time, compared to the previous “one case, one request” model, which would have overwhelmed the system.

The contribution by platforms like Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu, and UnionPay in deploying the health code systems has been well documented. The tech giants like BAT or JD.com were obvious choices for the government for many good reasons, including their tech competency, the depth of their data, and their legal compliance on privacy protection. But this also means that businesses will have access to another level of consumer data: big tech platforms now can reach much deeper into consumers’  private and public lives, and this is bound to have an impact on the scope of the big platforms and re-shape the competitive dynamics between them. For example, local services have already become a hot battleground for the tech companies.

Then, there’s the issue of consumer privacy. Generally, privacy comes as an afterthought for most consumers in China. So naturally, during a public health crisis, there was little resistance to the thought of trading personal data for pandemic management. Yet, we are seeing clues that awareness of privacy has been emerging and no one can take the consumers’ trust for granted.  For example, the health code systems are perfectly legal under China’s current framework for privacy protection; yet in its implementation, barely ever, one gets the chance to give consent. According to a report by Shanghai Mana Data Tech Development Center, out of dozens of health code systems, most didn’t have a privacy agreement with the consumers.

Given that the pandemic happened at breakneck speed and no one had the luxury to pause and reflect, “getting on with the experiment and see where it takes us” seemed to be the zeitgeist.  In the future, the health code system might phase out as it completes its job, but the learnings from its deployment could be applied in the development of smart cities. In some technologically advanced cities like Hangzhou and Suzhou, the health code system is already evolving into a type of digital ID, granting users to access public transportation, medical, and social services as the cities reopen.

Tech platforms, stepping from the private arena into their now very public roles, have lots on their shoulders. Just like in the past, all is well until a breach prompts the consumers to question how everything works, and whether they are being sufficiently protected. Whether their venture into the public sphere will inspire more trust, or prompt more vigilance on consumers’ behalf is something we will observe closely.

5G: from lukewarm reception to a beacon of hope

Chinese mobile consumers had been quite suspicious of the usefulness of 5G networks, but this pandemic has done wonders to 5G’s consumer perception in China.

When it first became publicly available near the end of 2019, 5G mobile plans were met with lukewarm reception at the best. Hindered by both high prices and limited choices in data plans and compatible devices, the 5G user base was growing at a sluggish rate. Amongst the reported 48 million 5G data plan subscribers, less than half of them – around 20 million – have been accessing the 5G network with a 5G-compatible device by the end of March. Some blamed the lack of consumer interest on the lack of popular 5G use cases, and the misperception that “5G is useless” prevailed in certain consumer segments.

However, the outbreak of Covid-19 highlighted the dire need for a technology that could deliver “low latency, high reliability, high mobility” for long-distance communication and digital services — a bill that 5G fills perfectly. Before long, 5G became instrumental in enabling different public health management scenarios that required high-fidelity long-distance communications in real time, and its strengths were made real and concrete to average consumers.

While the world was impressed by the speed at which China set up new hospitals to treat Covid-19 patients, the Chinese audience was impressed by the nearly simultaneous set up of live broadcasting of the construction. Thanks to wireless 5G connectivity, there was no need for installing light optic fiber cable, and as many as 100 million Chinese viewers were able to witness, or as they fondly called it, “supervise” the constructions from their living rooms. They were able to get detailed information about the construction projects, interact with the livestreaming and other viewers at the same time. This collective experience enabled by 5G was widely regarded as a cultural event that provided hope and a sense of control in a time that people needed them the most.

It was also widely publicized that during the pandemic, 5G connectivity enabled hospitals to connect with the medical workers in different cities to conduct much-needed remote consultation sessions, as well as remote control of robots to deliver patient care in high-risk situations. In addition, in combination with heat-imaging technology, 5G-powered unmanned monitoring stations were able to efficiently scan passengers for high body temperature around train stations and other high traffic areas.

Granted, these applications are still in the early stages of development, and one could argue that some could have been accommodated under the 4G framework. however awkwardly. Yet, the significant change is in the consensus around the perceived value of 5G. While this doesn’t mean that the adoption of 5G will accelerate immediately — the disruption in the tech production chain means delays in the launch of 5G hardware —the cost of customer acquisition for 5G will be much lower than what it could have been. 5G has become a household name in China. Even McDonald’s has named a fried chicken offering “5G” (“G” and “chicken” are homophonous in Mandarin), which quickly went viral on social media. In short, Chinese consumers are now ready to embrace 5G after it had proven to be a beacon of hope during the fight against Covid-19, which stands in stark contrast with incidents of “destroying 5G stations in fear of spreading coronavirus” in the West.

Livestreaming & Connected Commerce: exploring new use cases

During the lockdown, people did many things online that we used to insist must be done in person – going to work, seeing a doctor, or even buying luxury products — all it took was a forced change of habit out of necessity. These new behaviors spurred adoption of new technologies, and much has been written about them, including our previous article on the shift in consumer behaviors. Here, we turn our attention to the new combinations of technology and use cases that could bring disruptions in connected commerce.

Livestreaming + Virtual Influencers

Virtual influencers such as Luo Tianyi have been part of the pop culture in China for a while now, both for what they are – perfect concoctions of idealized human qualities, and for what they aren’t – magnets of scandals and gaffes that would disappoint fans. Some merchants tapped virtual influencers for their shoppable livestreams to demonstrate and pitch products to prospective customers during the pandemic, and now many are starting to use them for customer services. Virtual customer reps are available 24/7, which is ideal for a generation of customers that demand instant gratification. During her first solo live merchandising session on May 3rd, Luo Tianyi attracted 2.7 million viewers, and her “commission fees” approached one million RMB per product(Xiuchuag.com, May 27, 2020). Although her sales performance from that day has yet to be disclosed, this experiment itself has already been replicated and is likely to extend into the future.

Livestreaming + D2C Model

Since the outbreak, livestreaming from the countryside has pushed their way into the mainstream ecommerce stage. As the pandemic disrupted the traditional distribution channels, some farmers and factory owners, many of whom are of an older age, were forced to turn to livestreaming to hawk their products directly to consumers rather than selling through grocers and retailers. This new wave of live-streamers shifted online shopper’s expectations, as the famers and factory owners were able to bring consumers to the source of production and showcase how produces were grown or how products were made, thus injecting a much-needed sense of authenticity and trust into a market that has been long plagued by low-quality counterfeits and food safety issues. This shift underlines the urgency behind the extension of high-speed internet in rural areas (likely via 5G), as well as the adoption of mobile and livestreaming platforms by the older populations in rural areas.

Virtual Experiences + Local Services

Since the Chinese consumers colloquially refer to online activities as “cloud(-based) activities”, everything in China now seems “cloud-able.” From the prevalence of “cloud meeting” and “cloud conferencing” comes the revelation that all forms of leisure and entertainment can take place online, including things like travel, clubbing, happy hours, and jogging, and they all became popular online experiences during the pandemic. Out of these “cloud experiences,” one of the most inspiring was how young people used Idle Fish, a secondhand goods marketplace app, to help each other out. During the initial phase of the pandemic, the number of transactions on Idle Fish skyrocketed in Wuhan. Most of them occurred within the radius of 2 kilometers, and many transactions for services, such as offering to feed cats for people unexpectedly stranded in other cities or therapy sessions, were priced at below 1 yuan, making them, in reality, neighborly acts of altruism. Turns out, the cure to the naturally occurring “social distancing” common in big cities was using virtual experiences to connect with neighbors and help each other out.

On-Demand Delivery + Emergency Relief

The logistics services were put through the wringer during the pandemic, and they came out of it better optimized as an area of intense competition for the big tech companies. During lockdowns, Meituan made it possible for delivery workers to act as new emergency service workers, delivering life-saving medicines and other crucial resources. Logistic giants like Alibaba and SF Express acted as the blood vessels across the country transmitting medical supplies to where they were needed the most. This is quietly transforming how delivery services are perceived — it’s no longer about delivering just physical products, but also local services. This shift in perception opens up a new window for brands to reconsider how products and experiences will be delivered to Chinese consumers.

Conclusion:

With the worst part of this pandemic hopefully in the rearview mirror, we are seeing signs of real transformations in consumer tech adoption. Consequently, our online life won’t just be a copy-an-paste version of our offline world, and they won’t be siloed as “virtual” moving forward. The online world has proven to be capable of new creations, configurations, and shared experiences.  In the past, we regarded “online” as a growth channel while offline as the “home base” — a notion that has been rendered completely antiqued by the pandemic.

Technology has been a key driving force behind China’s rapid socio-economic development over the past decades. The fallout of this pandemic dovetails nicely with the Chinese government’s push to build out “new infrastructure” led by 5G and blockchain, which will no doubt elevate consumer interest in tech innovation to new heights and spur new inspirations for building a techno-utopia in China. For brand marketers, that means it is time to get tech-savvy and start testing new use cases and emerging digital channels.

 

科技乌托邦的新想象

September 23, 2020 | Share this article

如任何大危机,新冠疫情是个加速器,无论是对新物种的成长,还是老物种的消亡。2020本身就是个科技大年,5G、人工智能应用、万物互联、云等等都在国家和企业的战略部署之中,但在疫情之前,对大多数消费者而言,这些仍然是生活在公私政策中的形而上。在疫情后,这些科技迅速转化成新的应用和体验,哪怕仍在萌芽阶段,也给消费者足够具象的体验和对焦虑的缓解,预告未来的生活中科技将扮演的角色。当下,大多数的新发展仍然处在公共健康管理的范畴内,但根据中国的速度,我们相信很多创新会以不同的形式被应用到营销,并催生科技平台的新形态。

AI+大数据的整合: 健康码、智慧政务服务和平台的演变

在这场战役中,阿里、腾讯、百度、银联等平台的贡献有目共睹,其中最高光的创新之一,就是结合了大数据、AI、云计算、区块链等技术的健康码。2月11日,为了迎接即将到来的返工潮,杭州市在全国第一个上了市民健康码,受益于之前就已经打好的数据库整合基础,如果不是最开始三大运营商在移动轨迹数据分享上的迟疑,杭州的速度可能更快。之后,全国出台的健康码近百,地域之外,还有行业垂直的码比如国家服务平台推出的“全国码”。健康码带来了疫情管理上的便利,也和体温表、口罩一样,成为疫情期间创造安全感的重要仪式。

科技上的创新固然亮眼,但是健康码上线,在法规、管理上的挑战甚至更大:

  • 散落在不同部门、地区、平台的数据如何整合,各地法规的整合、问责系统的建立。2月4日,中央网络安全和信息化委员会办公室明确提出在保护个人隐私的情况下鼓励政府和企业提供大数据支持,中信部也出面协调了运营商和地方政府之间的信息分享,相比疫情之前只能在“一事一申请”的框架之下的数据共享,新的做法带来了新的的实时性和公私合作下智慧城市管理的新模式。
  • 无论是从技术高度、数据深度、隐私法意识的层面,政府都需要通过和BAT、京东等巨头的合作来落实健康码以及其他一些未来的民政服务。企业可以拿到的消费者数据的广度和深度前所未有,甚至打入了城市最小的管理单位— 小区,让 “最后一公里”变成了“最后一米”。这也意味着大平台将进一步进入公共领域和消费者的生活。消费者和平台的关系会如何演变?这些演变已经开始融合进阿里和腾讯等平台的战略——本地服务已经成为今年的大战场。
  • 对隐私的保护。公众愿意开放自己的个人信息来换取对疫情的预防和合理的公私资源调配,但是,数据到底开放到什么地步才能够让公众放心?在现有的隐私法的框架下,健康码完全符合要求,但是仍然需要让使用者知情。根据上海玛娜数据科技发展基金的报告显示,在微信和支付宝上多个省市的数十个健康码中,绝大多数没有用户协议或隐私政策(品玩,2020年4月1日),疫情之后,这些数据是否保留?

这场实验才刚刚开始。健康码可能随着疫情消失,但是它带给“智慧城市”管理的经验已经成为资产。在它的诞生地杭州,它已经演变成市民电子身份证,可以用来使用公共交通、医疗、社保等服务。大科技平台在落实这些服务中,会如何演变自身运用大数据的能力,这些能力会增强还是减弱消费者的信任感,都值得密切关注。

5G:从怀疑到期待

从2019年登场起,5G一直处在一个相对尴尬的阶段。因为价格高选择少,用户增长一直相对缓慢,截止到三月底,运营商开通了4800万5G套餐用户,但是通过5G设备接上5G网络的只有2000万左右(虎嗅网)。无论是厂商还是经营商,似乎都还在寻找5G让消费者垂涎的卖点,“5G无用论”一直有着市场。

疫情的爆发带来的是5G展现自己的机会。一方面,在迅速爆发的疫情中,对“实时+可靠性”的需求爆棚,让5G变成了心理上的希望;另外一方面,不同疫情管理的场景中,5G的强大赋能效应被每个人看见,远程、无人、实时、高精、高清场景的出现,也打开了所有人对5G未来应用的想象:
  • 5G超高清视频直播+VR+互动:在火神山、雷神山医院的建设中,5G省去了传统光缆、网络搭建和设备配置开了24小时直播,让高达1亿观众实时监工,成为在疫情最黯然的日子里一段集体高光回忆。
  • 5G+VR+机器人:在医疗场景中,5G帮助接通大城市、大医院的专家资源实现密集远程会诊,在高危场景非接触式探视,5G机器人承担了护理、清洁等工作。
  • 5G+无人车+机器人带来信息化防疫,结合红外线热成像技术,在武汉等地的火车站、地铁、办公楼承担测温、监控等功能,极大提高了防疫效率。

而这些体验,都是对5G最好的科普,让5G从鸡肋变成了众望所归。从科技应用的角度,这些创新还只是开始,甚至某些体验在4G的框架下也可以完成。但是,中国社会对5G的看法,正在从分歧走向共识。在2020年,5G厂商仍然需要面对基建的速度、全球生产链断裂带来的新机型上市时间的延迟等挑战,但未来推广成本会降低。疫情之后,麦当劳把新的一款炸鸡命名为“5G”,迅速带动了消费者的好奇心,和西方社会 “烧5G基站”等等反科技的潮流,形成了鲜明的反差。

线上+现场: 未来的主场

在疫情中禁足日子里,我们发现,原来所有的“不能在线上完成的事情”——上班、看医生、上课、买奢侈品都可以在线上完成。这些相对成熟的科技的新应用和普及,已经有很多讨论,我们就不多花笔墨,而把视线转移到新的科技体验的组合上:

1. 在直播中VR/AR的应用带来的二次元边界的延展。虚拟偶像如洛天依等在中国早已经深入人心,除了自身形象健康甜美,也不存在因为丑闻带来人设的崩塌。在做主播的时候可以突破人的体能极限,24小时上线,随时满足所有女生现在就“买它”的欲望。在5月3日晚洛天依的第一次单独直播中,坑位费高达90万元,有300万观众围观,无论目前带货效果如何,两个不同的次元已经在营销届自由互动了。

2.  万事可云。如果说办公等场景延展到云会议仍然可以理解——毕竟疫情对经济的影响正在逼迫所有人报复性赚钱。那么娱乐体验的“云”化带来的影响就更能体现从线下到线上的转化。从云旅游、云蹦迪、云夜跑,消费者似乎已经把各种线下体验成功转移到了线上。而在这些“云体验”中,最有创造力的之一,是年轻消费者对闲鱼颠覆式的使用:这个本来用来卖二手货的平台,变成了“云邻居”们互助的好地方。在疫情期间,闲鱼同城在武汉的交易暴增,绝大部分发生在两公里之内,许多实质上免费——只要0.01元、1元,包括帮助无法按时回武汉的陌生人喂被困在家里的猫,和心理疏导。城市的冷漠,这个线下的顽疾,在疫情期间被线上治愈。

3. 科技进一步的下沉和普及。传统直播电商的套路仍然没有离开直播间和大流量的概念。疫情之后,在一系列的通过直播的自救过程中,在不同的平台上,我们看到了“场”的改变——主播们从直播间走到了果园、农田、工厂车间,带来了强烈的真实感,不但有别以前的电商体验,也有别零售体验:它让“货”和 “场”变成C位,也让曾经边缘的人走上C位。在这个后面,对尤其是在农村地区的移动网速的要求的进一步提高(让我们再次大喊一声5G),和直播软件自身的技术优化(如快手)会推动发展。

4. AI带动的赋能带来的服务升级。在疫情中,美团的AI让美团小哥成为抗疫中人和人之间的纽带,资源的输送者,和紧急服务者。同城服务的高度智能化带动从“货”到“服务”的消费,也会带动更多的传统零售把“体验”从线下向线上转化。

种种迹象表明,疫情之后,线上体验不再是线下体验的拷贝和黏贴,“虚拟“两个字,会和线上生活越行越远,线上会终于变成那个创造、感受、交流的主场。“线上”曾经是带动增长的渠道,未来可能会成为生活、生意的主场。线上线下的界限的消失、线上场景的情感力量加强和科技的进一步下沉,意味着更多的人通过线上体验、娱乐、交流、被看见。

结论

在中国过去飞速的发展中,科技带来的进步力量几乎是一种信仰。疫情和“新基建”的重合,会把这种信仰带到下一个段位。虽然目前看到的更多的是公共领域的创新,但是疫情几乎是一场练兵,把新的科技带入了应用的时代。作为营销人,我们会高度关注AI、5G、AR等科技在变革中的科技应用、对消费者隐私意识和隐私法的影响、对平台战略的改变、和线上线下角色的互换。我们相信,这些新技术对某些行业影响比如零售、同城服务、娱乐等会有最直接的影响,但是它们的在营销上的广泛应用,不会很远。